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Comments on NAOSC's Public Disclosure Document

NAOSC's proposal for a bitumen upgrader west of Bruderheim needs to be examined within the context of the impact of intensifying construction of petrochemical plants in the Industrial Heartland zones of Strathcona and Lamont counties on environmental quality of adjacent areas.

By Walter Schneider

Note: Aside from absolute and unalterable facts, this article contains comments that are my own that do not necessarily reflect the official position of FOLC or the opinions of all members of FOLC.


Without a doubt, the construction of ever more bitumen upgraders and related petrochemical plants in the Industrial Heartland zones of Strathcona and Lamont Counties will be welcomed by those looking for jobs in the construction and operation of petrochemical plants close to home.  Others look forward to other positive consequences of the increased construction in our area of Alberta, such as increased tax-revenues and increased opportunity for retailing and light industry, but there will be trade-offs.  Some of those trade-offs are escalating housing prices (those increased by a factor of about three within the last three years), escalating wages and increasing prices for consumer goods.

NAOSC's Public Disclosure Document (Upgrader) - March 5, 2007 (off-site, 2.4 MB PDF file) presents a very pretty picture.  It presents many pretty pictures (none of which look like the photo on the right), namely rural settings with pristine blue skies that were used as the background on which the text of the document is shown. 

   It remains to be seen whether NAOSC will be able to live up to its subliminally presented image of being exceedingly environmentally friendly.  Those pictures bear no relationship to real life here and to the fact that background levels of pollution are on the rise.

Far from causing pristine blue skies, the emissions from the proposed bitumen upgrader will be a substantial addition to the poisonous atmospheric pollution that increasingly over the years manifested itself as a brown haze (often very heavy, dark and menacing — see photo at right) and acidic rains, mists and fogs that ever-increasingly corrode the quality of the environment and of our lives here. (More photos)

Over the years objectionable levels of pollution have become more and more frequent and are more and more often visible, even though air-quality monitoring data (somewhat difficult to obtain for the construction of long-term trend indicators) produced by monitoring agencies identify no problems of great concern.

   Any corporation will present itself in the best of possible lights.  It is practical and logical to do so.  It would not be reasonable to expect someone like NAOSC to show itself in the context of the worst possible circumstances.

   NAOSC deserves credit for the quality of their public relation efforts and their awareness of concerns regarding the environmental impact of their proposed upgrader.  Not once (to my knowledge) have they downplayed or denied the validity of any concerns expressed about the environmental impact their upgrader facility would have.

   Still, the proposed NAOSC upgrader (and others to come) will be right at Bruderheim's back door.  We will get to smell its effluents, and we will have to suffer the consequences of increased air pollution.  Without a doubt, NAOSC will design its upgrader to operate within permissible limits.  However, exceptions will occur with all industrial facilities.  Exceedences of air-quality standards are to be expected at times, and the emissions from the NAOSC upgrader, even in the unlikely circumstance of being within acceptable limits at all times, will add to and increase the level of pollution produced by all plants in the Industrial Heartland.

   Every one of the environmental impact assessments for all of the refineries and upgraders operating in the corner of Strathcona County to the west of us (the Industrial Heartland) identified that the facility it related to would add negligible and acceptable levels of air pollution, but not one of them ever identified that the cumulative effects of the emissions by the plant in question and its neighbours would raise the background pollution levels to increasingly frequent unacceptable levels.  It is little consolation to people living downwind from polluting plants to learn that unhealthy and damaging concentrations of air pollution were caused by "building-downwash effects" (virtually the only explanation ever offered when emission exceedences are reported by the Fort Air Partnership). 

   Building-downwash effects that cause objectionable pollution levels to be measured at a ground location near and downwind from an emitting source of pollution are consequences, not causes, of excessive pollution emissions, although it can be and is being argued that they cause high pollution levels to be measured by the air monitor installed for a given source of pollution.  A given single air monitor will not come close to capturing all building-downwash effects it is intended to measure.  It will only tell us about pollution levels during a specific building-downwash condition when the wind blows at a specific speed or higher from the emission source towards the air monitor.  Unless a ring of air monitors surrounds a source of pollution, we will not be able to tell how many of those building-downwash conditions occur at that source of emission.  Moreover, air-quality monitors located on the ground near sources of emissions are not likely to show emission exceedences when there is little wind, even though under those conditions communities at nearby locations could well experience objectionable air-quality conditions that defy being detected at the source.

   We can experience the equivalent of a building downwash effect when we sit around a camp fire whose smoke causes our eyes to smart and makes us move upwind from the fire to escape the smoke.  Air monitors cannot move around a source of emission to a location where high pollution levels downwind from a source can be measured.  Moreover, on a calm day none of the people sitting around a camp fire will smell the smoke from that fire regardless of their position in relation to the fire, unless they hold their heads right into the smoke.  On a calm day the smoke from that fire will rise straight up to a fairly high level, spread out at higher atmospheric levels and never bother anyone in its vicinity.  However, the smoke will descend from those higher atmospheric levels quite some distance from the fire and can make conditions many miles away quite unpleasant, especially if the fire is large enough.  All of us experienced such circumstances, even though at those times we were many hundreds of miles away from forest fires that burned in British Columbia or Northern Alberta.

   Most smoke particles and components of smoke are heavier than air.  That is true also of the vast majority of the components of the air pollution emitted by the petrochemical plants located in the Industrial Heartland. The smoke particles from a fire rise into the air because the air containing them is hot.  Hot air is lighter than cold air, therefore it rises in a cold air layer.  The air containing the smoke will cool off, and the smoke particles entrained in the cooled-off air — being heavier than the air entraining them — will drift downward and come back closer to the ground, becoming more concentrated in the process, especially if there is no or little wind.  That is also true of the air pollution emitted by the pollution sources located in Strathcona County.  Raising the height of a smoke- or exhaust stack will do absolutely nothing to reduce the volume of pollution emitted, it will merely ensure that the emitted pollution will be somewhat better diluted by dispersing it over a wider area.  However, just like smoke, air pollution emitted by the industrial plants in Strathcona County will reach the ground somewhere — concentrated and within a very short distance from the sources of emission if the conditions are right, somewhat more diluted and at a greater distance if the wind blows with sufficient strength.

   The weather conditions reflected in the photo shown at the top of this page would have made it extremely unlikely that objectionable levels of, say, sulphur dioxide or nitrogen oxides, would have been measured around 7 a.m. on September 9, 2006 at any of the air monitoring stations near the plants that caused the pollution that is clearly visible in the photo.  It is doubtful that any of the air monitoring stations in the Fort Air Partnership's air-shed zone measured exceptionally high levels of pollution on that day and at that time.  The local air pollution having caused the brownish to purplish tint of the atmosphere visible in the photo was concentrated hundreds of feet above ground where the photo was taken but was sufficiently dense and cool enough to show up as a dark cloud bank hovering at an apparently lower level about 40 to 60 miles to the north, well beyond the boundaries of the Fort Air Partnership air-shed zone.  (Keep in mind that the photo was not taken for the purpose of demonstrating the extent of air pollution caused by the Industrial Heartland.  It was taken as part of a set of photos showing the integration of industry and agriculture in our area.  The capture of the visible air pollution was accidental and not even of one of the worst we get to experience here.  At times the visible evidence of the collective air-pollution effects in this area is far more intense.)

   On a windy day the concentration of the air pollution visible in the photo above would have reached the ground in a much shorter distance, without having had a chance to become much diluted in spite of more intense atmospheric mixing.  During certain atmospheric conditions (i. e.: in relatively calm conditions, with a warm air layer over a shallow layer of cold air) very high concentrations of air pollution will occur at ground levels and can at times be as much as one-hundred times higher than what is normal or average, except that those extremely high levels are not as likely to be measured in Strathcona County as they are to be detected in adjacent counties, in Lamont County, Sturgeon County, Thorhild County or even in Edmonton.

   Telling us about building-downwash effects right at emission sources tells us nothing about what caused them.   Most of all, those measurements tell us nothing about the air-quality conditions in locations where no air monitoring equipment exists.  Building-downwash-effect conditions are a symptom and not the cause of unacceptable pollution emissions.  No problem has ever been successfully solved by talking about its symptoms rather than about their causes and about the actions required to eradicate those causes.

   The residents in this area must be forgiven and have good reasons for believing that no effective policing of pollution emissions originating in Stathcona County is in place.

Items from NAOSC's Public Disclosure Document that should concern residents in Bruderheim and area and in Lamont County.

(Items on blue background and items 4a and 4b were copied from the document.)

  1. Map

The map shown here (on the right) has been edited to show Bruderheim.  Bruderheim is not shown on the original map contained in NAOSC's public disclosure document. 

   It is very difficult to believe that the omission of the nearest community neighbouring the proposed NAOSC upgrader was accidental.

   It appears reasonable to expect that, if NAOSC does not even show that community on the map identifying the location of its proposed upgrader, then the  residents of that "forgotten" community located so near to NAOSC's proposed upgrader do not rank very high on NAOSC's priority list.

  A good number of long-term residents in Lamont County remember the long-standing fight of the acreage owners at Highway 15 south from DOW Chemical.  DOW Chemical eventually bought them out (at an undisclosed amount, being the only buyer), removed the homes from those acreages and posted "NO TRESPASSING" signs at those properties.  Only a handful of property owners and their families were involved.   It is quite possibly unavoidable that the fate of those people is nothing other than what is in store on a much larger scale for the residents of Bruderheim and area.

   Neither Bruderheim nor Lamont are presently equipped with air-monitoring stations.  It is necessary right now to address the long-standing neglect by the Fort Air Partnership (FAP) to install active environmental monitoring stations within the boundaries of the most-affected communities in the Fort Air Partnership air-shed zone.  The monitoring station in the hills of Elk Island Park will not do residents and property owners in Lamont and Bruderheim much good when it comes to the need for demonstrating that the quality of their health and lives is being destroyed.

   The FAP's "Lamont" monitoring station is located at an elevation of 715 m, west of Range Road 202 and ¾ of a mile south of Highway 15, 4 miles west of Lamont (elevation 647 m) and 3.5 miles SE from Bruderheim (elevation 627 m).  That monitoring station too — being located at a much higher elevation than either Bruderheim or Lamont, and some distance from either community — will not do the residents of Bruderheim and Lamont much good when the valley fills up with pollutants and when at the same time the hills south of Highway 15 experience clear air.

   On the other hand, having air-monitoring equipment located in the centres of the communities in Lamont County will give a clear indication of what air-quality conditions in those communities are at any time, regardless of which direction the wind blows and regardless of whether building-downwash effects happened to be detected at any of the sources of pollution in the Industrial Heartland.

   The interests of the residents in Lamont County are not being served by locating air-quality monitors in locations where the modelling of the Fort Air Partnership air-shed zone dictates they should be located.  Locating them according to that would not permit to detect whether the models are flawed.  Locating them in the centers of the communities in Lamont County would not only provide measurements of actual conditions for Lamont County residents, it would provide clear indications of whether the models adequately address the conditions for the County's residents.  After all, no county-residents reside in the hills of Elk Island Park.  The quality of the air that the county-residents in the valley must breathe during an inversion can be quite bad, while monitors in the hills may show no problems at all.

   Perhaps even more importantly, having those air-quality monitoring stations in place in the centres of their communities will give the residents of those communities the assurance that the pollution-emitting sources don't try to rely on the low probability that building-downwash effects will actually be detected when they occur.  After all, regardless of what happens at the sources of air pollution, those community air-quality measuring stations would tell without any doubt about the level of risk the residents of those communities are exposed to at any given time.  The absence of air quality monitors right at the centers of the communities in Lamont County is a grave concern, as illustrated by this recent news story: "Sulphur Dioxide Poisons Bulgarian Village of Galabovo".

   As per the "2005 Air Quality Summary" chart shown on this page, Lamont experienced the second-lowest air quality of the communities listed (note that the value identified for Lamont was not derived from measurements within the boundaries of Lamont, and that Bruderheim is not listed).

   If the value shown for Lamont is close to reality, then for 3.5 percent of the time in 2005 Lamont residents had to breathe air that was not good for consumption.  We don't know what things were like in Bruderheim as far as air quality goes because Bruderheim residents don't count, perhaps because they would kick up a fuss if they knew what they are breathing.

   "Percent of Time Air Quality Rated Good" is not a good indicator of risks posed by dangerous emissions.  All it takes is one extremely bad instance, and we all suffer permanent damage or worse.  However, going by the 2005 Air Quality Summary chart, we can be made to believe that on average we should feel quite good.  We would then be just like the man who's got his feet in a bucket of ice water and his head in the hot oven.  Going by the law of averages, he should feel comfortable.
  1. Disposal of waste by-products

It appears that as of now NAOSC has not given much thought to the disposal of all of the waste-products of its proposed upgrader. 

   When asked about what NAOSC anticipates with respect to storage requirements for waste sulphur, NAOSC's representatives at NAOSC's open house in Bruderheim, Jan. 25, 2007 (and again at NAOSC's subsequent open house in the Lamont Recreation Centre's arena meeting room), stated that, except for a maximum of three day's buffer storage, NAOSC will not store waste sulphur at the site of its proposed upgrader.

   The process flow diagram contained in NAOSC's public disclosure document for its proposed upgrader shows absolutely no waste products being generated by the plant (although some of the more detailed flow process diagrams shown in the displays presented at their open house in Lamont do).

   Going by the process flow diagram contained in NAOSC's public disclosure documents, it would logically follow that NAOSC's upgrader is the chemical equivalent of a perpetual motion engine.  Perpetual motion engines are a physical impossibility; but if someone were almighty and could built one, it would produce no waste of any kind.

   Still, NAOSC appears to be aware of the problems it needs to come to terms with, as "impurities such as sulphur, nitrogen and heavy metals" need to be removed from the syncrude NAOSC will produce.  Aside from the problem of waste-sulphur disposal, it will be a bit of a problem to deal with the heavy metals (amongst them will be mercury, nickel, vanadium and concentrated radioactive isotopes of heavy metals)

On account of its toxic qualities, environmental activists call pet-coke "the fuel from hell"

  1. Waste by-products storage-space requirements

NAOSC states that the site for its proposed upgrader will occupy 700 acres, although the terms of reference for the environmental impact assessment study (off-site, 154 kB PDF file) mention 1,350 acres.  That would appear to be large enough for a few waste-sulphur storage blocks and petroleum coke (a.k.a. pet-coke) storage piles, but it is not likely enough space for all of the waste sulphur and pet-coke produced by the upgrader during the span of "over 50 years".  (Update April 30, 2007: It must be stressed that NAOSC's representatives stated at both of their open houses in Bruderheim and Lamont that all of the waste sulphur NAOSC will produce will be sold through the sulphur market, and that pet-coke is not intended to be stored at all.  The latter would be converted to synthetic gas.)

   NAOSC intends to produce synthetic gas (syngas) from the pet-coke its upgrader will produce if or when phase 2 of the upgrader goes into production.  Some of the pet-coke (all of it, according to NAOSC's representatives at their open house in Lamont) will be re-used in phase 2 of the upgrader, which is quite a few years off in the future (slated for 2015). 

   How much storage space will be used for the pet-coke, and how will that pet-coke impact the environment in our neighbourhood?  The keyword in "will ...eliminate most of the petroleum coke waste by-product" is most, the point being that we don't know how much pet-coke or other waste byproducts will be left and require disposal or long-term storage.  It appears that we won't get to know the details of that until the detailed engineering for the upgrader is being done.

   Will the excess pet-coke and excess waste sulphur be stored in Lamont County, thereby making further use of Lamont County as the cesspool for Strathcona County's profitable petro-chemical industry?  The answer to that provided at NAOSC's open house in Lamont was, "None".

  1. Conflicting production figures for phase 1 of upgrader?

  1. On page 10 of its public disclosure document NAOSC states:

The Phase 1 upgrader facility will produce approximately 12,000 cubic metres (65,000 barrels) per day of SCO (SCO stands for synthetic crude oil — folc.ca
).

  1. On page 13 of its public disclosure document NAOSC states:

We expect the first phase of the upgrader, with a capacity of 12,000 cubic metres (76,000 barrels per day) of bitumen feed, to be operational in 2012.

Those two statements are not compatible.  A volume of 12,000 m3 cannot equal at one time 65,000 barrels and at another time 76,000 barrels.  However, it is quite possible that the difference of 11,000 barrels per day between the bitumen feed and the output in the form of SCO represents the volume of waste by-products in their various forms that will have to be removed in upgrading bitumen to SCO.

   NAOSC will be more meticulously clear and precise when it goes through the engineering stages of its project.  When it comes to operating such a facility, the magnitude of the difference shown between the two statements identified above exceeds by far what can be expected from instrument errors and often results in catastrophic failures of production facilities and operational logistics.  They can very possibly result in expensive re-engineering and modifications of operational plant, while the people residing in the neighbourhood must cope with the consequences of the fallout of malfunctioning processing facilities until the required corrections have been made. (I. E.: The startup of Syncrude's new Coker 8-3 in May 2006 caused noxious fumes to be emitted.  The foul-smelling emissions motivated Alberta Environment to order the coker to be shut down.  After expensive modifications, Syncrude announced in November of 2006 that they had solved the problems with the flue-gas-desulphurization unit of the coker and had restarted the coker.)

   NAOSC will without a doubt estimate the production figures for its proposed upgrader facility with better accuracy than demonstrated in those two statements quoted above.  At its Jan. 25, 2007 open house, NAOSC identified that it cannot be precise about waste-by-product figures unless it first does the detailed engineering for its facility.  That means that unless NAOSC first does the detailed engineering for its plant it cannot accurately address many concerns about the environmental impact its plant will have.  The emission and byproduct figures contained in the proposed terms of reference for the environmental impact assessment for its upgrader facility (off-site, 154 kB PDF file) are no more than first estimates.  However, NAOSC representatives stated at their open house in Lamont that they wish to put their upgrader into operation and will therefore design and implement whatever it takes to meet applicable emission standards.

_____________
Posted 2007 03 07
Updates:
2007 03 08 (inserted comment on air quality)
2007 03 09 (expanded the discussion of building-downwash effect)
2007 04 20 (added location details for the FAP's "Lamont" monitoring station)
2007 04 30 (made edits based on information provided by NAOSC at its open house in Lamont)